Flamengo vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
SCI
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
FLA
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
FFL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
BON
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BON
2 - 1
IFC
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
TIG
0 - 2
BON
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 2
BON
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
BON
2 - 1
TFC
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |