Flamengo vs Bangu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
0 - 1
FLA
7%
14%
78%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 4
CAP
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 4
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
20%
69%
|
50 | 82 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BON
1 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
OLA
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |