Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 2
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
COR
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATM
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
FLA
26%
25%
50%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 3
PAL
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 2
ATP
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
ATP
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |