Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 3
FLA
18%
25%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
RES
1 - 3
FLA
8%
20%
72%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 2
VOL
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ATP
3 - 0
TCW
87%
11%
2%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATP
9%
21%
71%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 1
PAR
73%
19%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
CIA
3 - 1
ATP
8%
21%
71%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ATP
4 - 1
LON
74%
19%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | +1 |