Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CRZ
3 - 0
FLA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
FFL
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAH
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 3
ATP
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 2
SAO
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
ATP
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |