Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 3
BAH
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 2
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 0
ATP
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COT
1 - 1
ATP
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |