Flamengo vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
4 - 0
ARN
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
3 - 1
SCI
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
ARN
2 - 2
FLA
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 3
AME
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
SCI
0 - 1
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 2
AME
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1993 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
CRZ
8 - 0
NAC
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |