Flamengo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
FLA
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLA
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
COT
3 - 0
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
PPE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
ATM
22%
26%
53%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |