Flamengo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 1
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1981 |
FLA
5 - 2
CCP
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLA
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1981 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
CCP
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1981 |
CCP
0 - 1
ATM
30%
26%
44%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1981 |
OLI
0 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1981 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |