Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 2-1
Flamengo vs Atlético GO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 1
FLU
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 1
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 1
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GOI
0 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
GOI
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 2
GOI
84%
13%
4%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ANA
1 - 1
ATL
12%
21%
67%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
APA
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |