Flamengo vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 0
LAN
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 1
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAN
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
AME
63%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BON
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
OLA
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |