Flamengo vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
3.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 2
FLA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLA
9%
20%
71%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 2
DUQ
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 5
OLA
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BOA
2 - 0
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
0 - 3
FLU
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
PPE
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |