Flamengo vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
REM
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 3
FLA
13%
20%
68%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
SJS
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
SAO
32%
24%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
NOV
4 - 2
AME
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |