Flamengo vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 1
TIG
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 1
FLA
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CFC
1 - 3
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
BAN
1 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
BOA
43%
23%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
FLU
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |