Flamengo vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
FLA
2 - 0
COR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 1
FLA
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1984 |
SAN
0 - 5
FLA
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
AME
0 - 0
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1984 |
SAN
0 - 1
AME
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1984 |
JUN
4 - 1
AME
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1984 |
AME
1 - 0
SAN
3%
30%
67%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1984 |
AME
1 - 1
FLA
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
AME
2 - 0
JUN
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |