Flamengo vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
3 - 0
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SCI
1 - 0
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
ASA
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
ATP
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |