Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-5
Flamengo PI vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
71%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ALE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
FER
3 - 0
FLA
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
ALE
1 - 0
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
PAL
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
PAL
13%
20%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 3
ITU
83%
13%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |