Flamengo PI vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
0 - 2
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
ALT
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAR
45%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 1
PIA
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
7%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |