Flamengo PI vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
4DE
45%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
4DE
19%
21%
61%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
RIV
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |