Flamengo Arcoverde vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEC
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
1 - 0
PER
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 3
FEC
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 0
FEC
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
ACA
31%
26%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
AFO
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
AFO
31%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |