Flamengo Arcoverde vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEN
0 - 0
FEC
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
FEC
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 0
SPO
2%
7%
91%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FEC
2 - 2
AFO
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PER
2 - 6
FEC
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AME
2 - 2
AFO
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
AFO
1 - 1
BEL
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
AFO
91%
8%
2%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
AFO
1 - 1
CEN
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FEC
2 - 2
AFO
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |