Flamengo BA vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 0
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
FLA
5 - 1
JEQ
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 0
FLA
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 2
COL
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAH
6 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +2 |