Flamengo BA vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 0
FLA
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
JAC
2 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
AEC
1 - 1
FLA
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
6 - 1
FLA
89%
8%
3%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
GAL
82%
14%
4%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MOT
0 - 4
BAH
11%
20%
69%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
BAH
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
BAH
20%
24%
57%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |