Zhenis vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
12º
12º
32
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
FKZ
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 3
ORD
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ZHE
2 - 2
FKZ
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
KYZ
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 3
FCA
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
SAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 4
TOB
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |