Zhenis vs Aktobe II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
10º
3º
23
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 4
FKZ
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FKZ
2 - 5
FKT
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 4
FKZ
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKZ
3 - 0
FJQ
87%
10%
3%
|
56 | 14 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 3
FKZ
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 3
FKK
7%
13%
81%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
EKI
3 - 0
FKA
88%
10%
3%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 5
FKY
5%
12%
83%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
FKY
5 - 0
FKA
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 6
FKT
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 69 | 59 | 0 |