Smena-Zenit vs Dynamo St Petersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena-Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SZP
0 - 2
VOL
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NAR
5 - 2
SZP
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 0
SZP
70%
19%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
FKR
3 - 0
SZP
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
SAC
1 - 1
SZP
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo St Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
VOR
5 - 0
DIN
42%
28%
30%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
DIN
3 - 4
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
DIN
1 - 0
TEK
38%
28%
34%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TOR
2 - 1
DIN
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
DIN
5 - 0
DVO
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +3 |