Zenit Irkutsk vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
FKZ
0 - 3
SAK
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
FKZ
0 - 0
FCC
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
IRT
0 - 1
FKZ
37%
23%
41%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
DIN
2 - 2
FKZ
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
FKZ
1 - 1
DIN
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2018 |
FCC
0 - 0
SME
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
SME
3 - 1
IRT
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SME
2 - 1
DIN
35%
27%
39%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
SAK
2 - 1
SME
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
SAK
3 - 0
SME
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |