Zelenograd vs Nara-ShBFR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zelenograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
LOK
3 - 0
FKZ
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
DNE
2 - 4
FKZ
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
FKZ
2 - 2
TEK
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FKZ
4 - 0
SPA
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DVO
1 - 0
FKZ
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
NAR
3 - 1
IST
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
LOK
0 - 0
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 2
DNE
43%
27%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TEK
1 - 0
NAR
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAR
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |