Yelimay Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
9º
7º
7
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 46 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 32 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 30 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 26 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 57.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yelimay Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
KYZ
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 2
FKY
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
ORD
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
SHA
25%
23%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
KAI
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
KAI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZHE
1 - 0
SHA
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
SHA
25%
23%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
AST
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
FKT
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |