FSC Mariupol vs VAST Mykolaiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
FYM
0 - 0
MYK
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
LNZ
0 - 0
FYM
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 0
FYM
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
1 - 0
FYM
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
FYM
0 - 1
FKC
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAM
0 - 1
RPH
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
VAM
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAM
1 - 2
FKC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VAM
2 - 0
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NYV
2 - 0
VAM
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |