FSC Mariupol vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
6º
5º
9
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 29 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
9 | 29 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 28 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 20 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 17 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 17 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 16 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
55% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
45% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HSP
3 - 1
FYM
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
FYM
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 5
FKC
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
UCS
6 - 2
FYM
32%
23%
45%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 0
POZ
77%
15%
7%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 4
MET
7%
14%
79%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
FKA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
BUK
0 - 0
MET
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KPT
0 - 1
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |