Velež Nevesinje vs Sloboda Mrkonjic Grad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
18º
18º
16
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
69% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 15 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Nevesinje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUD
1 - 0
FVN
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FVN
2 - 4
LAK
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DRI
1 - 2
FVN
52%
22%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FVN
0 - 0
KOZ
44%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
4 - 1
FVN
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sloboda Mrkonjic Grad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 1
PRN
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FVO
5 - 1
SLO
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 5
RUD
27%
28%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 2
LAK
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DRI
1 - 0
SLO
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |