Velež Nevesinje vs Kozara Gradiška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
66.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
16º
12º
47
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
39 | 39 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Nevesinje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 2
FVN
79%
12%
9%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FVN
2 - 2
SLA
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RUD
3 - 2
FVN
78%
16%
7%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FVN
3 - 2
ROP
9%
17%
74%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | +8 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FVN
0 - 2
FKK
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kozara Gradiška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KOZ
3 - 1
PRN
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RAD
2 - 0
KOZ
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KOZ
2 - 1
ZEL
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 2
KOZ
38%
22%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KOZ
1 - 1
RUD
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |