FC Van vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
7º
5º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
NOA
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
VAN
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
VAN
50%
27%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
AVA
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LER
2 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 0
LER
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |