FC Van vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
7º
5º
22
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
NOA
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
VAN
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
VAN
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
AVA
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
LER
1 - 3
VAN
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LER
2 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 0
LER
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |