FC Van vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
7º
5º
76
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
VAN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 1
VAN
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 1
VAN
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 2
BKM
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
VAN
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
SHI
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
AVA
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
AVA
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
PAI
0 - 0
AVA
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |