Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
FC Van vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
VAN
3 - 1
BAN
38%
30%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
VAN
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 0
VAN
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
NOA
4 - 0
VAN
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
VAN
0 - 1
ARA
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SHI
2 - 2
AVA
19%
26%
56%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
BAN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
AVA
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
PYU
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
ZEN
4 - 0
AVA
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -5 |