FC Van vs BKMA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
7º
5º
32
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Van
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LER
0 - 2
VAN
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
SHI
2 - 0
VAN
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NOA
2 - 2
VAN
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
ALA
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
SHI
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
SHI
23%
24%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 2
AVA
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 1
PYU
17%
24%
60%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
BKM
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 0
BKM
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |