Ustrem Donchevo vs Chernolomets 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
15º
12º
26
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
92% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 1 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UST
2 - 0
FKR
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
UST
51%
20%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
SHU
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AKS
3 - 1
UST
57%
19%
24%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UST
0 - 4
CHE
6%
16%
78%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
LOV
19%
21%
61%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SHU
0 - 2
CHE
22%
20%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
4 - 1
AKS
70%
16%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 1
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
FSV
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |