Ustrem Donchevo vs Cherno More Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
59.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
15º
12º
28
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 29 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
89.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
92% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
92% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 1 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
UST
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UST
1 - 1
CHE
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
UST
2 - 0
FKR
35%
22%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
UST
51%
20%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
SHU
40%
22%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CMV
1 - 1
BIS
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
CMV
0 - 1
AKS
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SHU
0 - 1
CMV
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 0
CMV
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CMV
0 - 0
FSV
59%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |