Tyumen II vs Ilpar Ilyinsky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
56.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
10º
4º
37
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tyumen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
FAS
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 0
FMA
15%
18%
66%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 0
FKT
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 1
MMM
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SZP
1 - 2
FKT
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 0
FII
57%
19%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FII
2 - 1
FCC
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MMM
2 - 0
FII
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FII
3 - 0
SZP
89%
8%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 5
FII
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |