FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
8º
25
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKT
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 3
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 0
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 4
VAL
13%
22%
66%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 3
AUD
16%
26%
59%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |