FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
8º
8º
39
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 3
FKJ
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKT
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
21%
23%
57%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
GRO
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |