FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
9º
8º
40
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 67 |
3º
|
99.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 57 |
4º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKT
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
LIE
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
6 - 1
FKT
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
AUD
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |