FK Tukums 2000 vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
9º
9º
41
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 55 |
4º
|
98% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
RIG
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
GRO
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
FKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUD
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 2
AUD
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |