FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Valmiera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
12º
26
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 1
TUK
27%
20%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 2
FSL
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 4
ALB
26%
24%
51%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
VAL
15%
20%
65%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 2
VAL
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
VAL
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |