FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
12º
37
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 4
SUP
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 0
TUK
8%
13%
80%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
TUK
34%
23%
44%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
PRA
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 0
RIG
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 18 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
ALB
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
SKA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
RFA
73%
16%
10%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |