FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Progress / AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
12º
17
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 39 |
6º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 27 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 17 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
TUK
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 5
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 3
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 2
ALB
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 1
PRA
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALB
6 - 2
PRA
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 3
RIG
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
PRA
67%
18%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |