FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+719%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
13º
12º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUK
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
68%
16%
17%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
4 - 1
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 1
TUK
27%
20%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 2
RIG
16%
21%
64%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 1
OUD
67%
17%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
OUD
74%
17%
10%
|
22 | 63 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
OUD
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
RIG
15%
22%
63%
|
21 | 71 | 50 | +1 |