FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+546%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
11º
17
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 63 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 55 |
3º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 49 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 40 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 39 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 28 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
45% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
TUK
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
68%
16%
17%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
4 - 1
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 1
TUK
27%
20%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 2
RIG
16%
21%
64%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
1 - 1
OUD
67%
17%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
OUD
74%
17%
10%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 0
OUD
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 2
RIG
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 70 | 51 | +1 |