FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
12º
22
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
87.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 38 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 5
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 3
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 2
ALB
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 7
TUK
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 1
FKB
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 1
SKA
12%
20%
69%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 4
KFV
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KFV
2 - 3
ALB
10%
18%
72%
|
22 | 58 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 3
KFV
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
87%
9%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |