FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
11º
8º
14
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 58 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 55 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 51 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 49 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 49 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 40 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 35 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 32 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 30 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 23 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 20 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
TUK
34%
23%
44%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
PRA
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
TUK
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TUK
0 - 5
GRO
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIG
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FSL
4 - 2
MAR
13%
16%
71%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALB
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKA
1 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |